Simulation Model with Side Trips at a Large-Scale Event

Ryo Niwa (University of Tsukuba), Shunki Takami (University of Tsukuba), Shusuke Shigenaka (University of Tsukuba), Masaki Onishi (AIST), Wataru Naito (AIST), Tetsuo Yasutaka (AIST)

Abstract

We propose the Side-trip model, a simulation model for the human flow of visitors leaving a stadium including stochastic side trips as an extension of existing models. The proposed model represents the stagnation and the congestion caused by side trips until the agent reaches his or her final destination. Experiments with real measured data show that the proposed model is estimated with lower errors than simpler models.